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How Worried Should Investors Be About Caterpillar Inc. (CAT)

Ginger Baker by Ginger Baker
January 24, 2023
in Business
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Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE:CAT) does about 3.25M shares in volume on a normal day but saw 2609277 shares change hands in Monday trading. The company now has a market cap of 129.42B USD. Its current market price is $252.70, marking an increase of 1.20% compared to the previous close of $249.71. The 52 week high reached by this stock is $260.50 whilst the lowest price level in 52 weeks is $160.60. The script in recent trading has seen the stock touch a high of $253.68 and a low of $249.27.

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Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) has a 20-day trading average at $246.38 and the current price is -2.99% off the 52-week high compared with 57.35% distance from its 52-week low. The 50-day simple moving average of the closing price is $238.58 and its 200-day simple moving average is $206.52. If we look at the stock’s price movements over the week, volatility stands at 2.24%, which decreases to 2.04% over 1 month. It is also key to look at other market indicators of price movement for the stock, where we see that the relative strength index (RSI) is at 60.09 to suggest the stock is neutral.

27 analysts observing the Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) stock have set the 12-month price targets for the company’s shares at between $190.00 and $337.00. The consensus objective for the share price is $239.53, suggesting that the stock has a potential downside of -5.5% over the period. The median price target is -0.08% away from the current levels at $252.50.

FactSet Research has provided data showing that 27 brokerages have issued ratings for the stock. 1 analysts have rated it as a sell, while 1 advise that it is a overweight. 11 analysts have rated it as a buy and 13 have advised that investors hold their positions. The consensus recommendation rating is Overweight and Wall Street’s advice is for investors to Moderate Buy the stock.

The company shares received a number of brokerage firm price updates over the past month, with the latest being on January 13, 2023 when BofA Securities upgraded the stock to “Buy” and issued a price target of between $217 and $295. UBS downgraded its price target at $225-$230.

The current price level is 2.79%, 6.12%, and 22.47% away from its SMA20, SMA50, and SMA200 respectively, with the CAT price moving above the 50-day SMA on January 23. Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) stock is down -2.23% over the week and 7.47% over the past month. Its price is 5.49% year-to-date and 16.65% over the past year.

The stock last released its quarterly earnings report for quarter ended 9/29/2022, with the company’s earnings per share (EPS) of $3.91 above consensus estimates by $0.79. The company’s next earnings report is expected on 04/27/2023, with forecasts estimating quarterly EPS at $3.42 and $12.65 for whole year. CAT’s earnings per share are forecast to grow by 29.20% this year and 8.20% over next year. Expected sales for next quarter are $14.69 billion, which analysts say will come at $56.94 billion for the current fiscal year and next year at $60.54 billion. In addition, estimates put the company’s current quarterly revenue at an average of $15.29 billion.

Its 12-month price target is $252.50. To reach the target analysts have set, the stock logically needs to shrink -5.5 percent from here. Of course, the average price target is just what the average analysts believe a stock will be worth in the next 52 weeks, and is only one metric. There are analysts with lower targets than the average, including one bearish Wall Street research firm advocating investors to wait for the price to pull back to $190.00, given the recent momentum. And then, on the bullish side of things, one analyst is expecting the stock to peak at $337.00.

Outstanding shares total 525.00M with insiders holding 0.23% of the shares and institutional holders owning 71.06% of the company’s common stock. The company has a return on investment of 9.40% and return on equity of 45.50%. The price to earnings ratio (P/E ratio) amounts to 18.46 while the forward price to earnings ratio is 16.52. The beta has a value of 1.10. Price to book ratio is 8.51 and price to sales ratio is 2.29.

According to a U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission filing, Vanguard Total Stock Market Index has reduced its position in Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) to 15,827,377 shares, mirroring a recent drop by -0.54%. Vanguard Total Stock Market Index dumped 86406.0 shares of Caterpillar Inc. common stock bringing its total worth to about $3.79 billion at the end of recent close, SEC documents show. Vanguard Total Stock Market Index isn’t the only investment manager who changed stakes and is followed by Vanguard 500 Index Fund, which sold off 66733.0 shares to end up with 12,029,372 shares worth $2.88 billion.

Tags: CATCAT stockCaterpillar Inc.NYSE:CAT
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