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Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc. (SPCE): The Latest Casualty Of Increased Volatility?

Katie Ford by Katie Ford
January 24, 2023
in Business
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Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc. (NYSE:SPCE) does about 7.10M shares in volume on a normal day but saw 9527480 shares change hands in Monday trading. The company now has a market cap of 1.37B USD. Its current market price is $5.31, marking an increase of 2.31% compared to the previous close of $5.19. The 52 week high reached by this stock is $11.25 whilst the lowest price level in 52 weeks is $3.24. The script in recent trading has seen the stock touch a high of $5.41 and a low of $5.135.

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Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc. (SPCE) has a 20-day trading average at $4.16 and the current price is -52.80% off the 52-week high compared with 63.64% distance from its 52-week low. The 50-day simple moving average of the closing price is $4.57 and its 200-day simple moving average is $5.93. If we look at the stock’s price movements over the week, volatility stands at 10.35%, which decreases to 8.14% over 1 month. It is also key to look at other market indicators of price movement for the stock, where we see that the relative strength index (RSI) is at 64.83 to suggest the stock is neutral.

14 analysts observing the Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc. (SPCE) stock have set the 12-month price targets for the company’s shares at between $3.00 and $11.00. The consensus objective for the share price is $5.08, suggesting that the stock has a potential downside of -4.53% over the period. The median price target is -18.0% away from the current levels at $4.50.

FactSet Research has provided data showing that 14 brokerages have issued ratings for the stock. 3 analysts have rated it as a sell, while 0 advise that it is a overweight. 2 analysts have rated it as a buy and 6 have advised that investors hold their positions. The consensus recommendation rating is Hold and Wall Street’s advice is for investors to Hold the stock.

The company shares received a number of brokerage firm price updates over the past month, with the latest being on January 10, 2023 when Morgan Stanley initiated the stock to “Equal-Weight” and issued a price target of $4. Bernstein downgraded its price target at $4.

The current price level is 30.00%, 16.40%, and -10.82% away from its SMA20, SMA50, and SMA200 respectively, with the SPCE price moving below the 50-day SMA on January 23. Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc. (SPCE) stock is up 2.31% over the week and 44.69% over the past month. Its price is 52.59% year-to-date and -41.65% over the past year.

The stock last released its quarterly earnings report for quarter ended 9/29/2022, with the company’s earnings per share (EPS) of -$0.55 below consensus estimates by -$0.14. The company’s next earnings report is expected on 05/09/2023, with forecasts estimating quarterly EPS at -$0.51 and -$1.86 for whole year. SPCE’s earnings per share are forecast to shrink by -30.10% this year and 9.10% over next year. Expected sales for next quarter are $670k, which analysts say will come at $1.57 million for the current fiscal year and next year at $16.69 million. In addition, estimates put the company’s current quarterly revenue at an average of $420k.

Its 12-month price target is $4.50. To reach the target analysts have set, the stock logically needs to shrink -4.53 percent from here. Of course, the average price target is just what the average analysts believe a stock will be worth in the next 52 weeks, and is only one metric. There are analysts with lower targets than the average, including one bearish Wall Street research firm advocating investors to wait for the price to pull back to $3.00, given the recent momentum. And then, on the bullish side of things, one analyst is expecting the stock to peak at $11.00.

Outstanding shares total 263.91M with insiders holding 18.56% of the shares and institutional holders owning 36.99% of the company’s common stock. The company has a return on investment of -35.70% and return on equity of -59.10%. The beta has a value of 1.00. Price to book ratio is 2.29 and price to sales ratio is 853.28.

According to a U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission filing, SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF has added its position in Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc. (SPCE) to 11,321,944 shares, mirroring a recent increase by 0.21%. SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF added 23180.0 shares of Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc. common stock bringing its total worth to about $39.4 million at the end of recent close, SEC documents show. SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF isn’t the only investment manager who changed stakes and is followed by Vanguard Total Stock Market Index, which added 0.63 million shares to end up with 6,498,979 shares worth $22.62 million. iShares Russell 2000 ETF cut their holdings by -1.03% in the company over the course of the most recent quarter. It now holds a 1.96% position in Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc. thanks to 5.39 million shares amounting to $18.74 million.

Tags: NYSE:SPCESPCESPCE stockVirgin Galactic Holdings Inc.
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