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Volatility Is Your Friend: Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC) Is Hot Again

Ginger Baker by Ginger Baker
January 24, 2023
in Business
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Ares Capital Corporation (NASDAQ:ARCC) does about 2.89M shares in volume on a normal day but saw 3982712 shares change hands in Monday trading. The company now has a market cap of 10.07B USD. Its current market price is $19.47, marking an increase of 2.31% compared to the previous close of $19.03. The 52 week high reached by this stock is $22.86 whilst the lowest price level in 52 weeks is $16.51. The script in recent trading has seen the stock touch a high of $19.47 and a low of $19.00.

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Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC) has a 20-day trading average at $18.80 and the current price is -14.82% off the 52-week high compared with 17.96% distance from its 52-week low. The 50-day simple moving average of the closing price is $19.00 and its 200-day simple moving average is $19.22. If we look at the stock’s price movements over the week, volatility stands at 1.74%, which increases to 1.93% over 1 month. It is also key to look at other market indicators of price movement for the stock, where we see that the relative strength index (RSI) is at 58.98 to suggest the stock is neutral.

14 analysts observing the Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC) stock have set the 12-month price targets for the company’s shares at between $20.00 and $22.00. The consensus objective for the share price is $20.87, suggesting that the stock has a potential upside of 6.71% over the period. The median price target is 7.29% away from the current levels at $21.00.

FactSet Research has provided data showing that 14 brokerages have issued ratings for the stock. 0 analysts have rated it as a sell, while 1 advise that it is a overweight. 12 analysts have rated it as a buy and 1 have advised that investors hold their positions. The consensus recommendation rating is Buy and Wall Street’s advice is for investors to Strong Buy the stock.

JP Morgan also upgraded the stock to “Overweight” from Neutral on April 27, 2022 at a price target of $22. Hovde Group initiated its price target at $22.50.

The current price level is 3.82%, 2.59%, and 1.53% away from its SMA20, SMA50, and SMA200 respectively, with the ARCC price moving above the 50-day SMA on January 23. Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC) stock is up 3.02% over the week and 5.93% over the past month. Its price is 5.41% year-to-date and -8.06% over the past year.

The stock last released its quarterly earnings report for quarter ended 9/29/2022, with the company’s earnings per share (EPS) of $0.5 above consensus estimates by $0.01. The company’s next earnings report is expected on 04/25/2023, with forecasts estimating quarterly EPS at $0.54 and $1.92 for whole year. ARCC’s earnings per share are forecast to shrink by -5.00% this year and 15.10% over next year. Expected sales for next quarter are $577.74 million, which analysts say will come at $2.02 billion for the current fiscal year and next year at $2.34 billion. In addition, estimates put the company’s current quarterly revenue at an average of $568.07 million.

Its 12-month price target is $21.00. To reach the target analysts have set, the stock logically needs to grow 6.71 percent from here. Of course, the average price target is just what the average analysts believe a stock will be worth in the next 52 weeks, and is only one metric. There are analysts with lower targets than the average, including one bearish Wall Street research firm advocating investors to wait for the price to pull back to $20.00, given the recent momentum. And then, on the bullish side of things, one analyst is expecting the stock to peak at $22.00.

Outstanding shares total 517.46M with insiders holding 1.40% of the shares and institutional holders owning 33.56% of the company’s common stock. The price to earnings ratio (P/E ratio) amounts to 11.52 while the forward price to earnings ratio is 8.77. Price to book ratio is 1.05 and price to sales ratio is 5.08.

According to a U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission filing, VanEck Vectors – BDC Income ETF has added its position in Ares Capital Corporation (ARCC) to 5,728,414 shares, mirroring a recent increase by 0.21%. VanEck Vectors – BDC Income ETF added 11721.0 shares of Ares Capital Corporation common stock bringing its total worth to about $105.8 million at the end of recent close, SEC documents show. VanEck Vectors – BDC Income ETF isn’t the only investment manager who changed stakes and is followed by Baillie Gifford Investment Funds, which sold off -0.26 million shares to end up with 3,372,800 shares worth $62.3 million.

Tags: ARCCARCC stockAres Capital CorporationNASDAQ:ARCC
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