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Volatility Is Your Friend: New Gold Inc. (NGD) Is Hot Again

Alexander Baker by Alexander Baker
January 25, 2023
in Business
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New Gold Inc. (AMEX:NGD) does about 3.14M shares in volume on a normal day but saw 2707003 shares change hands in Monday trading. The company now has a market cap of 773.32M USD. Its current market price is $1.17, marking an increase of 2.63% compared to the previous close of $1.14. The 52 week high reached by this stock is $2.02 whilst the lowest price level in 52 weeks is $0.61. The script in recent trading has seen the stock touch a high of $1.19 and a low of $1.12.

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New Gold Inc. (NGD) has a 20-day trading average at $1.0636 and the current price is -42.08% off the 52-week high compared with 91.49% distance from its 52-week low. The 50-day simple moving average of the closing price is $1.0739 and its 200-day simple moving average is $1.0627. If we look at the stock’s price movements over the week, volatility stands at 5.28%, which decreases to 5.26% over 1 month. It is also key to look at other market indicators of price movement for the stock, where we see that the relative strength index (RSI) is at 63.90 to suggest the stock is neutral.

11 analysts observing the New Gold Inc. (NGD) stock have set the 12-month price targets for the company’s shares at between $0.85 and $2.04. The consensus objective for the share price is $1.20, suggesting that the stock has a potential upside of 2.5% over the period. The median price target is 6.4% away from the current levels at $1.25.

FactSet Research has provided data showing that 11 brokerages have issued ratings for the stock. 1 analysts have rated it as a sell, while 0 advise that it is a overweight. 4 analysts have rated it as a buy and 5 have advised that investors hold their positions. The consensus recommendation rating is Hold and Wall Street’s advice is for investors to Moderate Buy the stock.

RBC Capital Mkts upgraded the stock to “Outperform” from Sector Perform on October 03, 2022 at a price target of $1-$1.25.

The current price level is 10.74%, 9.17%, and 9.78% away from its SMA20, SMA50, and SMA200 respectively, with the NGD price moving below the 50-day SMA on January 23. New Gold Inc. (NGD) stock is up 6.36% over the week and 17.00% over the past month. Its price is 19.39% year-to-date and -31.98% over the past year.

The stock last released its quarterly earnings report for quarter ended 9/29/2022, with the company’s earnings per share (EPS) of -$0.02 below consensus estimates by -$0.01. The company’s next earnings report is expected on 05/03/2023, with forecasts estimating quarterly EPS at $0 and -$0.03 for whole year. NGD’s earnings per share are forecast to shrink by -125.00% this year and 366.70% over next year. Expected sales for next quarter are $159.79 million, which analysts say will come at $602.44 million for the current fiscal year and next year at $759.77 million. In addition, estimates put the company’s current quarterly revenue at an average of $161.31 million.

Its 12-month price target is $1.25. To reach the target analysts have set, the stock logically needs to grow 2.5 percent from here. Of course, the average price target is just what the average analysts believe a stock will be worth in the next 52 weeks, and is only one metric. There are analysts with lower targets than the average, including one bearish Wall Street research firm advocating investors to wait for the price to pull back to $0.85, given the recent momentum. And then, on the bullish side of things, one analyst is expecting the stock to peak at $2.04.

Outstanding shares total 682.30M with insiders holding 0.31% of the shares and institutional holders owning 51.71% of the company’s common stock. The price to earnings ratio (P/E ratio) amounts to 6.88 while the forward price to earnings ratio is 14.27. The beta has a value of 1.46. Price to book ratio is 0.78 and price to sales ratio is 1.20.

According to a U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission filing, azValor Internacional, FI has added its position in New Gold Inc. (NGD) to 45,615,839 shares, mirroring a recent increase by 20.00%. azValor Internacional, FI added 7.6 million shares of New Gold Inc. common stock bringing its total worth to about $44.7 million at the end of recent close, SEC documents show. azValor Internacional, FI isn’t the only investment manager who changed stakes and is followed by VanEck Gold Miners ETF, which added 0.11 million shares to end up with 35,473,280 shares worth $34.76 million.

Tags: AMEX:NGDNew Gold Inc.NGDNGD stock
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