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Should Investors Trust The Upside Potential In The RealReal Inc. (REAL)?

Katie Ford by Katie Ford
March 17, 2023
in Business
0

The RealReal Inc. (NASDAQ:REAL) currently has a daily average trading volume of 3.83M but it saw 4014233 shares traded on Thursday. With a market cap of 137.44M USD, stock’s current market price of $1.29 came falling about -0.77 while comparing to the previous closing price of $1.30. In past 52 weeks, the stock remained buoying in the range of price level as high as $8.61 and as low as $1.04. In the recent trading on the day, stock has struck highest price mark of $1.335 while lowest mark touched by it was $1.25.

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Taking a look at 20-day trading activity of The RealReal Inc. (REAL) gives us an average price of $1.4295, while its current price level is -85.02% below from 52-week high level whereas it is 24.04% above from lowest level seen by the stock during that period. Simple moving average of 50 days or SMA-50 of the stock’s closing price is $1.5226 while that of 200 days or SMA-200 reads an average of $1.9282. A closer look into the stock’s movement over the week reveals that its volatility is standing at 9.88% during that period while stretching the period over a month that increases to 10.58%. It is also necessary to take a look into other indicators of a stock too, to get a better idea about its price movement. And in doing so, we find stock’s 14-day relative strength index (RSI) standing at 41.02 which implies that the stock is in neutral territory.

The RealReal Inc. (REAL)’s stock is currently under the radar of 14 analysts who are in consensus at a 12-month price target range of between $1.10 and $7.00 for company’s shares. The average price target assigned by the average number of analysts to a stock is a way to gauge worth of any stock in next 52 weeks. And in assigning price target to a stock, some analysts adopt a bearish approach by advocating lower-than-average price target which in this case is $1.10 while some adopt bullish approach by assigning higher-than-average price target which reads the price to top $7.00. Average price target assigned by them is $2.98 which highlights an upside potential of 56.71% for the stock over that period. And to attain the median price target of $2.50 assigned by those analysts, stock has to add about 48.4% of value to its current levels.

Data by FactSet Research shows that 14 analysts have issued their ratings for the stock. 0 of them are in opinions that stock is a Sell, while 2 are advising it as an Overweight. 4 analysts suggested the investors to Buy the stock while 7 advised them to Hold. Recommendations by all of those brokerages imply a consensus rating of Overweight for the stock and that issued by Wall Street to investors is Moderate Buy.

The company’s shares got several price updates from the analyst firms in past one month and most recent of them is from the Wells Fargo which downgraded the stock as “Equal Weight” in its note to investors issued on January 06, 2023, recommending a price target of between $5 and $2 for it. Cowen also issued its recommendations for the stock as it downgraded the price target for the stock in the range of between $14 and $3.

Over the week, REAL’s stock price is moving -11.64% down while it is -16.23% when we observe its performance for the past one month. Year-to-date it is 3.20% up and over the past year, the stock is showing a downside performance of -80.28%.

The latest quarterly earnings report issued by the company was for quarter ended 9/29/2022, when its quarterly earnings per share (EPS) of -$0.38 beat the consensus estimate of -$0.41 for the same. The company is expected to be releasing its next quarterly report in 05/09/2023, for which analysts forecasted an EPS of -$0.35 while estimate for next year EPS is -$1.64. For REAL, analysts are forecasting an EPS-growth rate of 12.80% for current year and estimate for EPS growth in next year is 23.80%. In next quarter, company is expected to be making quarterly sales of $160.82 million as analysts are expecting the sales for current fiscal year at $598.63 million and seeing the company making $681.35 million in sales next year. Moreover, analysts are in estimates of $157.38 million for current-quarter revenue.

Currently, The RealReal Inc.’s total number of outstanding shares is 98.58M with 3.38% of that held by the insiders while 74.44% of its common stock has been owned by the institutions. Company’s return on investment (ROI) stands at -67.70% and return on equity (ROE) at 161.10%. Stock’s beta reads 2.38. Stock has a price to sale or P/S ratio amounts to 0.23. Its return on asset (ROA) is -30.30% on average.

A filing at the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission revealed that Vanguard Total Stock Market Index came shrinking its share ownership by 5.01% in the The RealReal Inc. (REAL) increasing its stake to 3.52% with control over 0.16 million shares in the company. As per SEC documents, Vanguard Total Stock Market Index shunned 3,446,988 of company’s common stock of worth $4.65 million as per recent closing price of the stock. Vanguard Total Stock Market Index is not the only institutional holder which restructured its stake in The RealReal Inc., as iShares Russell 2000 ETF dumped 1,973,496 shares of worth $2.66 million to bring its holdings to a total of 6246.0 shares.

Tags: NASDAQ:REALREALREAL stockThe RealReal Inc.
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